Tropical Storm Francine Path: Forecast and Impacts
Tropical Storm Francine's path is forecast to lead to landfall in Louisiana on September 11, 2024, likely between Cameron and Morgan City. The tropical storm Francine path is being closely monitored by meteorologists. The Hurricane Francine forecast indicates it will strengthen to a Category 2 hurricane with winds up to 100 mph before landfall, bringing 5-10 feet of storm surge and 4-12 inches of rainfall to affected areas. The Francine storm track is expected to impact the Gulf Coast region.
Storm formation and strengthening
- Formation: Tropical Storm Francine formed in the Southwest Gulf of Mexico on September 9, 2024
- Strengthening: The Francine storm track showed it strengthening into a Category 1 hurricane with 90 mph winds on September 10, 2024
- Forecast: Hurricane Francine forecast expects it to strengthen to a Category 2 hurricane with winds up to 100 mph before landfall
Projected path and landfall
- Landfall location: Tropical Storm Francine's path shows highest probability for landfall between Grand Chenier and Morgan City, Louisiana, with a majority cluster near Pecan Island
- Landfall timing: Expected to make landfall on Wednesday, September 11, 2024
- Post-landfall movement: The Francine storm track forecast shows movement through northeast Louisiana, passing between Baton Rouge and Hammond, and heading into southwest Mississippi by Wednesday night
Storm impacts
Storm surge
- Surge height: 5-10 feet of storm surge expected in coastal Louisiana
- Affected areas: Surge warning covers the entire coasts of Louisiana and Mississippi, including Vermilion Bay, Lake Maurepas, and Lake Pontchartrain
- Lake Pontchartrain: 3-5 feet of storm surge predicted for north and west shores
Rainfall
- Total rainfall: Hurricane Francine forecast predicts 4-8 inches from northeast Mexico to southern Mississippi, with up to 12 inches in southeast Louisiana
- Highest recorded totals: 9.16 inches in Mandeville, 8.53 inches in Metairie, 8.38 inches in Slidell
- Flooding risk: Major flooding expected due to heavy rainfall
Wind
- Wind strength: Tropical Storm Francine's path indicates sustained winds of 90-95 mph expected at landfall
- High wind probability: Greatest chance of high winds in Louisiana's St. Mary, Iberia, Terrebonne, and Cameron parishes
Evacuation and preparation
- Mandatory evacuations: Ordered in threatened coastal areas along Tropical Storm Francine's path, including Cameron Parish, parts of Lafourche Parish, Terrebonne Parish Zone 1, Grand Isle, Jean Lafitte, Barataria, and lower Plaquemines Parish
- FEMA advice: Encouraged immediate preparation for those in Francine's path
- Power outages: Potential for weeks-long power outages in areas affected by the Francine storm track
FAQ
Where is Tropical Storm Francine expected to make landfall?
According to the tropical storm Francine path, landfall is expected between Grand Chenier and Morgan City, Louisiana, with the highest probability near Pecan Island on Wednesday, September 11, 2024.
How strong will Hurricane Francine be at landfall?
The Hurricane Francine forecast predicts it will strengthen to a Category 2 hurricane with winds up to 100 mph before making landfall.
What areas are under storm surge warnings?
Storm surge warnings cover the entire coasts of Louisiana and Mississippi, including Vermilion Bay, Lake Maurepas, and Lake Pontchartrain. The Francine storm track indicates 5-10 feet of storm surge in coastal Louisiana.
How much rainfall is expected from Hurricane Francine?
The Hurricane Francine forecast predicts 4-8 inches of rainfall from northeast Mexico to southern Mississippi, with up to 12 inches possible in southeast Louisiana.
Which areas have issued mandatory evacuations due to Tropical Storm Francine's path?
Mandatory evacuations have been ordered in Cameron Parish, parts of Lafourche Parish, Terrebonne Parish Zone 1, Grand Isle, Jean Lafitte, Barataria, and lower Plaquemines Parish based on the projected Francine storm track.
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